December 3-4, 2015 - LCDC Salem <br />Agenda Item 4, Attachment A <br />Proposed New Rules to Implement ORS 197A Public Draft 3 - November 23, 2015 <br />1 (6) To account for jobs that are likely to occur on land that is zoned for uses other than <br />2 commercial or industrial (and which therefore will not require buildable "employment land"), the <br />3 city must reduce the forecast of new jobs determined in section (5) by 20 percent. <br />4 (7) The result is the number of new commercial and industrial jobs forecast for the planning <br />5 period to be accommodated on employment lands in the UGB. The city must use this result or <br />6 the result in OAR 660-038-0110 as a basis for determining land needs under OAR 660-038- <br />7 0140. <br />8 OAR 660-038-0110 <br />9 Forecast Employment Growth Based on Oregon Employment Department Forecast <br />10 As an alternative to the method provided in OAR 660-038-0100, to forecast 14-year employment <br />11 growth based on the most recent long-term job forecast issued by the Oregon Employment <br />12 Department (OED), a city must: <br />13 (1) Determine the number of "commercial" and "industrial" jobs currently in the UGB as <br />14 provided in Table 6. <br />15 (2) Using Table 7, determine the long-term growth rates forecast by OED for commercial jobs <br />16 and for industrial jobs in the OED region that includes the city. For purposes of this rule, "OED <br />17 region" means Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA) Areas for which OED <br />18 forecasts long-term job growth. <br />19 (3) To forecast the number of new commercial and new industrial jobs anticipated to occur in the <br />20 UGB for the 14-year planning period, the city must: <br />21 (a) Multiply the number of commercial jobs currently in the UGB determined in section (1) <br />22 by the forecast rate of growth determined in section (2), and <br />23 (b) Multiply the number of industrial jobs currently in the UGB determined in section (1) by <br />24 the forecast rate of growth determined in section (2). <br />25 (4) To account for jobs that are likely to occur on land that is zoned for uses other than <br />26 commercial or industrial (and which therefore will not require buildable "employment land"), the <br />27 city must reduce the forecast of new commercial and industrial jobs determined in subsection <br />28 (3)(a) by 20 percent. <br />29 (5) The result is the number of new commercial and industrialjobs forecast for the 14-year <br />30 planning period. The city must use this result or the result in OAR 660-038-0100 as a basis for <br />31 determining land needs under OAR 660-038-0140. <br />11/23/2015 3:43:00 PM <br />http://intranet.dlcd.state.or.us/projects/UGBRAC/Reference Documents/660-038_3rdPublicDraft_2015-11-20.docx v2.0 <br />15 <br />