I require the City to expand further across I-5 * * * as well as extend[ ] water and sewer <br />2 services to the areas." With regard to residentially-related growth, the study <br />3 recommended an expansion that included "Study Areas 1, 2, 5 and 6." The city, <br />4 however, determined that Areas 5 and 7 were unavailable or unsuitable for employment- <br />5 based development, despite its recognition that those areas were, in fact, "higher-priority" <br />6 lands under the applicable land use standards for inclusion in an expansion of the UGB. <br />7 The study's recommendations were based, in part, on an analysis of <br />8 estimated future population and employment growth (population and employment <br />9 forecast). In 2010, the urbanization study had explained: <br />10 "Based upon State forecasted employment growth, employment growth <br />11 within Coburg's UGB is anticipated to yield an additional 615 new jobs, for <br />12 an employment total of 4,035 in 2030. This projection is based upon one of <br />13 the Safe Harbor[s]. Safe Harbors were established in OAR 660-024- <br />14 0040(8)(a), and adjusted based on local knowledge and/or community <br />15 vision. As part of this process, the employment growth rates are based on <br />16 the trends at the County level, which have been estimated by the Oregon <br />17 Employment Department. As a result, Coburg's employment is projected to <br />18 grow at a rate equal to the County or Regional job growth rate provided in <br />19 the most recent forecast published by the Oregon Employment Department. <br />20 The employment growth rate has been evaluated by applying the annual <br />21 average growth rate (AAGR) percentages from OED's 10-year Lane <br />22 County employment sector forecast (2006-2016) to Coburg's industry <br />23 sectors (2008-2030)." <br />24 (Emphasis added.) In the 2014 addendum, the city explained that it was relying on the <br />25 2010 data for its analysis "because the long-term forecast is expected to be realized, and <br />26 therefore the calculation of employment change requires a starting figure reflecting <br />27 Coburg's existing employment capacity and redevelopment potential." (Underscoring <br />28 omitted.) The 2014 addendum added: <br />4 <br />