The Oregon Resilience Plan – Critical and Essential Buildings – February 2013 84 <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Estimated State of Recovery <br />The 2,377 educational facility records in the 2007 SSNA were too numerous to be analyzed individually <br />by members of the educational facilities subgroup. Our analysis and results are based on a random <br />sample of approximately 300 records (224 primary school buildings and 79 secondary school buildings) <br />that were selected as representative of the broader data set. We classified the building records into the <br />appropriate geographic seismic zone (coast, valley, and eastern) and verified that we had assembled an <br />adequate sample size for each zone. <br />Our analysis revealed that in a Cascadia subduction zone earthquake scenario, pervasive structural <br />vulnerabilities would likely result in recovery durations of 18 months or longer for primary and <br />secondary schools in the seismic zones of the coast and valley. Primary and secondary schools in the <br />eastern seismic zone are expected to have recovery times of 60 days or less, mainly due to the minimal <br />level of ground motion expected in that geographical area. <br />Target States of Recovery <br />Giving consideration to the prioritized needs of the entire community for resilience and recovery, <br />returning children to school within 30 days is preferred. However, it was also the opinion of the task <br />group that a disruption of the public education system for up to 60 days could be tolerated without <br />having a major impact on communities and students. This determination was based on several <br />considerations: <br /> School buildings will not initially be as critical to the recovery as most other critical buildings <br />included in our study. The exception to this would be those schools that are needed as <br />emergency shelters, and as such, should have a target state of recovery of 72 hours. <br /> Teacher/employee contracts can be adjusted to accommodate a 2 month stoppage of work <br />more readily than employee contracts in many private businesses. <br /> Temporary facilities, including portable buildings and large buildings that are undamaged after <br />the event, can be employed to serve some of the more immediate needs of education until full <br />recovery is achieved. <br />Discussion and Sector Specific Recommendations <br />Oregon’s K-12 educational facilities have been the focus of seismic rehabilitation policy efforts for more <br />than a decade. In 2001, legislation (ORS 455.400) directed that, subject to available funding, K-12 <br />educational facilities with seismic deficiencies should be rehabilitated to a life-safety performance level <br />by 2032. In 2002, Oregon voters adopted ballot measures amending Oregon’s constitution with Articles <br />XI-M and XI-N, provisions that allow the state to issue general obligation bonds for the purpose of <br />seismic retrofits to existing schools and emergency response facilities. In 2005, a series of bills (Senate <br />Bills 2, 3, 4, and 5) directed DOGAMI to organize and conduct the Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment,