24,500 students consistently over this period.11 The University plans to <br />build an approximately 1,500 additional bed spaces over the 2007 to 2017 <br />period.12 <br />The housing choice of retirees may also affect the share of population in <br />group quarters. The State Office of Economic Analysis (OEA) projects that <br />the share of population of people 60 years and older in Lane County will <br />increase from 17% of the population in 2000 to 26% of the population in <br />2030.13 Seniors have a range of housing choices, from remaining in their <br />current home, downsizing to a smaller home, moving to independent <br />living situations, and nursing homes. Younger, independent seniors have <br />a preference for aging in place or choose housing that allows them greater <br />independence, such as age restricted communities.14 As seniors age or <br />their health deteriorates, housing choices may include assisted living <br />facilities and nursing homes. It is difficult to estimate how much the aging <br />of the population and greater housing choice for seniors will affect the <br />share of population in group quarters. <br />The trends described above suggest that population in group quarters <br />may increase but does not provide a clear indication of how large that <br />increase could be. For example, multiple factors could impact the <br />University's plans to build new dorms, including student housing <br />preferences, flat enrollment projections, and availability of State funds to <br />build new dormitories. Senior housing preferences could also affect <br />growth in population in group quarters. While the senior population is <br />growing, seniors are frequently choosing independent living situations, <br />unless health factors require nursing care. <br />11 University of Oregon Enrollment Projections, supplied by J.P. Monroe, Ph. D., Director of <br />Institutional Research, March 2013. <br />12 University of Oregon report, Strategic Housing Plan Consultant's Report, March 26, 2008. <br />Accessed on 4/9/2013 from: <br />http:/ / uplan.uoregon.edu/projects/Project%20Sums %20for %2OWeb/ HousingPlan/ UO_HSP_FIN <br />AL_MAIN.pdf <br />13 Source: Oregon Office of Economic Analysis. <br />http:/ / www.oregon. gov/ DAS/ OEA/ docs/ demographic/pop_by_ageandsex. xls <br />14 AARP, Fixing to Stay: A national survey of housbig acid home modification issues, May 2000 <br />http:/ / www.aarp.org/ research/ surveys/ stats/ surveys/ public/ articles/ aresearch-import- <br />783.htm1 <br />Part 11 - Eugene Housing Needs Analysis ECONorthwest Page 33 <br />