Coburg Industrial Scenarios with Regional Large Site Industrial Capture <br />Cobur Lar a Site Industrial Capt <br />ure % <br />Comparative Scenario I Option <br />A <br />131 <br />B2 <br />B3 <br />Added Regional Market Capture Rate <br />0% <br />10% <br />20% <br />30% <br />Regional Large Site Acreage Demand <br />463 <br />463 <br />463 <br />463 <br />Net Coburg Regional Acreage Demand <br />- <br />463 <br />92.5 <br />138.8 <br />Coburg Share Adjusted for 10% Vacancy <br />- <br />51 A <br />102.8 <br />154.2 <br />Plus Local Industrial Need (Forecast A) <br />68.7 <br />687 <br />68.7 <br />68.7 <br />Total Coburg Industrial Demand <br />68.7 <br />120.1 <br />171.5 <br />222.9 <br />Less Estimated Coburg Industrial Lands <br />(28.4) <br />(28.4) <br />(28.4) <br />(28.4) <br />Equals Net Added Acreage Need <br />40.3 <br />91.7 <br />143.1 <br />194.5 <br />1 <br />2 "Note that the table includes updated information regarding the <br />3 City's local industrial land need and available industrial land <br />4 within the City's existing UGB. <br />5 "The REA concluded: <br />6 "`A 10-20% capture of regional market demand <br />7 appears to be a reasonable minimum expectation for <br />8 Coburg. This base level of market capture is <br />9 supported by the previous demonstrated attractiveness <br />10 of this community for large scale regional industries, <br />11 better proximity to Linn as well as Lane County labor <br />12 force, current and prospective lack of Eugene sites in <br />13 proximity to I-5, and UGB expansion/infrastructure <br />14 challenges affecting the Springfield and Goshen (as <br />15 well as Eugene) alternatives.' Regional Economic <br />16 Analysis, p. 24." Record 773-74. <br />17 Because respondents ultimately selected Area 8, with 106 acres, it is <br />18 sufficiently clear that respondents determined the need for employment land <br />19 was consistent with Options B 1 and B2, and whatever assumptions and studies <br />20 justified those figures. <br />21 This subassignment of error is denied. <br />Page 55 <br />