EXHIBITS Page 70 <br />Supply and Demand Analysis in Units <br />Low <br />Density <br />Medium <br />rDensity <br />High <br />Density <br />Total <br />SUPPLY <br />Total Units on Buildable Acres <br />28,681 <br />13,078 <br />6,760 <br />48,519 <br />Units on Flat Buildable Acres <br />21,797 <br />12,432 <br />6,720 <br />40,949 <br />Units on 15-25 Percent Sloped Land <br />5,403 <br />632 <br />39 <br />6,074 <br />Eugene (same density as flat) <br />4,175 <br />624 <br />35 <br />4,834 <br />Springfield 4 DU/acre <br />1,228 <br />8 <br />4 <br />1,240 <br />Units on Steep (>25 percent) Sloped <br />Buildable Acres <br />1,482 <br />14 <br />1 <br />1,497 <br />Eugene 3 DU/acre <br />1,023 <br />6 <br />0 <br />1,029 <br />Springfield 1.25 DU/acre <br />459 <br />8 <br />1 <br />468 <br />DEMAND <br />Low-High Range Residential Demand <br />Remaining After Subtracting Demand Met <br />by Buildable Lots & Infill <br />22,873- <br />29,042 <br />8,384- <br />10,270 <br />4,200- <br />5,145 <br />35,457- <br />44,457 <br />Unit Demand for Housing Displaced by <br />Redevelopment <br />149 <br />0 <br />0 <br />149 <br />Total Expected Residential Unit <br />Demand -1992-2015 <br />26,449 <br />9,432 <br />4,725 <br />40,606 <br />Low-High Range Residential Unit <br />Demand -1992-2015 <br />23,022- <br />29,191 <br />8,384- <br />10,270 <br />4,200- <br />5,145 <br />35,606- <br />44,606 <br />Difference between Total Buildable <br />Supply and Expected Residential land <br />Demand in Units* <br />2,232 <br />3,646 <br />2,035 <br />7,913 <br />Note: Totals may differ due to rounding. Assumptions are estimates based on available data. <br />*Housing is not allocated to commercial and mixed use designated land due to Oregon Administrative Rules although it is known that some <br />housing will be built on commercial and mixed use land. <br />7. In 1995, approximately 28 percent of the buildable residential land supply did not have <br />public services, primarily wastewater. Of this total, 1,136 acres or 12 percent will not be <br />served for ten or more years; 521 acres (5.5 percent) will be served in five to ten years; <br />476 acres (5 percent) in three to four years, and 520 acres (5.5 percent) in one to two <br />years. <br />8. In the aggregate, non-residential land uses consume approximately 32 percent of <br />buildable residential land. These non-residential uses include churches, day care centers, <br />parks, streets, schools, and neighborhood commercial. <br />9. Some of the residential land demand will be met through redevelopment and infill. <br />Residential infill is occurring primarily in areas with larger, single-family lots that have <br />surplus vacant land or passed-over small vacant parcels. Redevelopment is occurring <br />primarily in the downtown Eugene and West University areas, where less intensive land <br />Laurel Ridge Record (Z 15-5) Page 633 <br />